From Bruce Sterling’s Zeitgeist:
Vanna reached unsteadily off the barstool, pulled up a knit Guatemalan shoulder bag, and produced a brand-new cell phone the size of her forearm. “Instead, I got me this k-rad Motorola Iridium.”
“Damn,” said Starlitz, gawking. “That’s the first one of those I’ve seen!”
“Instant global access,” Vanna announced, bravely sniffing back her tears. “It’s linked up, like, literally out of this world.”
“Yeah, that gizmo is totally not of this century. It’s got the new stuff!”
“Calls cost six bucks a minute!” she said proudly. “If you pay for ‘em, that is. Of course, this unit’s been phreaked.”
“Well, of course.”
Starlitz stared in silent hunger at the satellite telephone. The device stank of futurity. They would probably go broke, being so far ahead of the curve and all, but the gizmo was an utter harbinger of things to come, like discovering a fossil in reverse. Starlitz felt a powerful urge to grip the phone, caress it, perhaps bite it, but he restrained himself. Vanna was sure to take that gesture all wrong.
That’s how I’ve been feeling about the Nokia 770. An 8 oz. handheld Linux computer with wireless Internet connectivity. An 800×480 pixel screen that, from the pictures, makes for better portable websurfing than anything short of a full laptop. It’s not weighed down with a stupid thumb keyboard — input’s by stylus (unfortunately, no word yet of a SHARK implementation, or anything other than a lame virtual QWERTY keyboard) or an external keyboard. Dozens of applications have been ported to it already (Nokia released a development kit a while back.) And all for $360. It’s got the new stuff. I want to eat it.
And, like Iridium, it’s doomed. It’ll be a favorite of geeks, and I bet a decade from now there’ll still be an on-line forum for its hackers and users. But it doesn’t replace a cellphone; it doesn’t replace a PDA (it could, but it’s shipping without PIM software); it doesn’t replace a laptop. It’s too bulky for anyone to want to carry everywhere, and how often do you really need portable net access when you couldn’t, without much more difficulty, have brought a laptop? (It’s not even cheaper than low-end laptops — the Dell Inspiron 2200 has been going for around $400 after rebates; rumor has it that Walmart will be selling an under $400 laptop as a Black Friday deal.) Its CPU is too slow and it has too little memory.
Oh, but. It looks like it’d make a decent e-book reader, something at which PDAs and laptops are clumsy. It could be used as a arbitrarily sophisticated remote control for a home network. I read somewhere that someone’s already using it to stream audio from his home network — all he has to do is attach it to powered speakers in whatever room he’s in.And the really interesting things will come later — the ones that aren’t obvious in foresight.
Another development I’m excited about is that Nicholas Negroponte of the MIT Media Lab demonstrated the hand-cranked (!) $100 laptop. I’m not sure how well it’ll help in directly improving the lot of impoverished children, the program’s stated intent, but I think the spin-off technology from this effort will, in the long term, be a great boon for everyone (including said impoverished children.)
I’m also excited about electronic ink, a display technology that apparently looks close to printed text, remains easy to read in direct sunlight, and consumes very little power. Sony’s selling an e-book reader with it, but only in Japan. Sadly, I haven’t seen e-ink in use yet; apparently, it’s also conspicuously slow compared to other computer display technologies — even e-books will have a pause to turn the page. It’s probably not suited for most other tasks. But if I won the lottery, I’d drop $3000 on a prototype kit.
I’m not going to get a Nokia 770. If it already had SHARK, it came with a Bluetooth keyboard, it could replace the PIM functionality I get out of my Palm, and I knew I could virtually rotate the screen into portrait mode (including sensibly rotating the functions of the directional buttons), well, I’d probably fail to resist it. But I’m worried they may have rushed it for a Xmas release (there have been reports of poor connectivity; its CPU is weak; its memory is low. I’ll let the early adopters sort out the early problems (and pray they don’t add a thrice-damned thumb keyboard in the meantime.)
In a year or two, could we combine all of the above? Give me something the size of the Nokia, with the hand-cranked power of the $100 laptop, beefier CPU and memory, and with a color display on one side, and electronic ink on the other, suitable for both e-book reading and general computing. And all for $200?
No, probably not. But I bet the next couple of years won’t have a shortage of gadgets to drool over.
(And while Iridium filed for Ch. 11 bankruptcy in 1999, it still exists, and one could even still get a satellite phone.)